Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Looking at things at a very high level December has been an excellent month. The 2nd best of the year so far and if things continue over the final week of the year we could beat May's figure of £1,981. Clearly I don't want to tempt fate but it's been great so far, however I am sure I'm due a correction at some point soon.
Star performer again is Systematic Betting who have had a spectacular month with 54 points profit to date. Closely following behind is Northern Monkey with another tremendous profit. Also good to see Piecost turning things around. The Football Analyst looks like a good thing now as well - still delivering a profit during a tough time for football betting.
My only real concern lies with 3 services Mr Gekko Bets who have fallen back again after showing signs of recovery, The Market Examiner who are finding winners but just not enough to eek any profit out the service and I'm wavering with the service and finally Equine Investments Main Account which has started the all weather season abysmally with 8 losing bets in a row. When you see services like Northern Monkey delivering consistent profit month on month for next to nothing subscription you expect more when paying well over £1k subs. Luckily Equine Turnover is still producing (just).
Anyway the bottom line December to date I'm £1,515 up which takes my ytd gross profit over the £5k mark. If you asked me in the middle of October whether I thought I'd get to that position I would have laughed my head off.
This is more than likely going to be my last post until the New Year. I'm away for most of the break so won't have the opportunity to keep posting. Sorry things have been sporadic over the last month - it really has been hectic - I do intend to keep going in 2012 and will post as regularly as I can.
I'd like to take this opportunity to thank everyone who has commented on the site and also to you who just view - its great to know people read what am writing and I do hope it gives you an insight as to how hard it all is but also helps you with your own plans. I find it very therapeutic and it helps me focus on the task at hand
Anyway enough prattling - have a great Christmas and here's to a prosperous 2012.
Sunday, December 18, 2011
Thursday, December 15, 2011
Monday, December 12, 2011
Tuesday, December 6, 2011
Sunday, December 4, 2011
The month didn’t end particularly well with a couple of losing days but no massive damage done and a decent month in the end with £641 gross profit posted. Net profit therefore was £205 which gives me £6.83 a day – well below my “modest” target of £20 per day. Subscription fees continue to punish the profit at my stake level and clearly there are things I can do to change that.
Obviously luck plays its part and I suppose it evens out in the end but missing 3 winning bets one Saturday cost me £200+ profit on the month. C’est la vie.
So November my 6th winning month of the year so far and total profit for the year stands at £3,545 which on paper looks and sounds lovely, the reality being that unless December proves to be a stormer I will finish the year in a net negative position. 2009 and thousands of pound profit seems like a long time ago.
Anyway here’s the number for each service;
Steve Lewis Hamilton: -£224 (-4.5pts). Admittedly 1 winning bet missed which would have made a difference but still a negative for Steve with another disappointing month to post. Think the fact that we’re into the NH season proper now makes the result much more frustrating. A lack of bets doesn’t help matters but I think its worth keeping the faith. One winning bet would’ve turned things into profit. My level staking approach paid dividends with 1pt bet Prophete De Guye delivering and 3pt Tempest River flopping. I’ve just re-subscribed to SLH until 1 April 2012 so we shall see how the rest of the season goes.
Equine Investments / Equine Turnover. Small losses on both these services as they kicked off the AW season proper on Saturday 26th. Hopefully both can turn a substantial profit throughout the winter. I need Equine Investments to do tremendously well to break even. I’ve mentioned before my staking level with the main service is not sustainable with subs how they are, this joined with an impossible task of getting bets on at recommended prices make the service unsustainable for a punter like myself. A great service with handsome profit over the long run so cannot be criticised too much but not one I will continue with at renewal point – I just can’t make it pay. Equine Turnover has performed magnificently this year and I do plan to keep going with that one but it’d be fair to say pressure on prices appears to mount as each passing tip delivers.
Northern Monkey: +£190 (+19pts). Another very good month for Wayne at Northern Monkey. I had to laugh at his end of season review where he mentioned he wasn’t very happy with annual performance. Give yourself a break man! Happy as larry, could not be happier… Highlight of the month has to be Sugar Beet. It’ll be quieter over the next few months but tipping at its best for very low cost.
Football Elite: -£101 (-4pts). Disappointing month for Football Elite. I’d say this was a service that was on my watch list. Matt sent an interesting email at the end of the month which overall I couldn’t disagree with in terms of volume of bets and long term profit. I think the question is – how long do I want to wait before I return a decent profit? Again my level of staking is the issue here – not so much relative to the cost of the service – which is a very reasonable £15 a month – but in terms of volume of bets and odds achieved. It probably feels like you should be betting £100+ on each tip to feel the benefit of the service. However whatever the level of tipping over the last two years including subs I’ve made a loss and it does reach the point that you have to draw a line and move on – can I wait another year or two to turn a profit. I don’t think the nature of who I am will allow me to do that!
4PA: +£14 (+0.7pts). A poor month for 4PA with a flourish of winners in the middle helping us scrape over the line in the black. I’ve flipped my betting on this service with and am following the basic system bets over the account bets. Any account bet that isn’t a basic system bet I’m covering to minimum stakes. Clear evidence from the stats to show that this is the right thing to do and good profit can be made from simply following the basic system at £20 a point. As you will know I’ve re-subscribed for three months to see how things go and to allow me to try and do the basic thing myself. Well last weekend it never happened as I had no time and this weekend will be the same as I’m away for a wedding. So there is value in paying £400 a year for a service that can deliver +£2.5k a year on profit. Now questions are – could some one provide the tips at less than £400 a year and if they did would that be ok to do considering it’s a SBC tool. Answers on a postcard. PS – if anyone from SBC is reading this – I’m not going to do it so don’t have a go!
Monday, November 28, 2011
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Monday, November 21, 2011
|1||2||Sugar Beet||9-4||L Morris||R Harris||3||8/1|
|in touch, ridden and headway entering final furlong, driven to lead final 75 yards opened 13/2 touched 8/1|
|2||9||nk||Lenny Bee||9-3 t||J P Fahy (3)||Mrs D Sanderson||5||11/4|
|in rear, ridden and headway approaching final furlong, ran on, not reached winner opened 3/1 touched 3/1 £825-£300|
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Monday, November 14, 2011
Sunday, November 13, 2011
Saturday, November 12, 2011
Thursday, November 10, 2011
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
Monday, November 7, 2011
Thursday, November 3, 2011
Wednesday, November 2, 2011
Monday, October 31, 2011
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Sunday, October 23, 2011
Sunday, October 16, 2011
Friday, October 14, 2011
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Wednesday, October 12, 2011
Anyway back to September - here's the table of points and cash earned for the month;
Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Total profit for the month was £634 which was a pleasant surprise bearing in mind the month wasn't progressing much at all until towards the end of the month.
A good month for a number of services - Steve Lewis Hamilton, Equine Turnover, Systematic Betting all providing decent levels of profit backed up by Football Elite with a good 2nd month of the season. Unfortunately the overall profit was brought down significantly by terrible months from Mr Gekko Bets and 4PA - and we all know these services appear to be in some disarray.
Taking subs into account the month was also profitable - I estimate this to be just shy of £200 a month. This is clearly well short of where I want to be post subs, but with the way things have been going recently I take this as a positive.
Will post points total / latest graph further thoughts over next day or so.
Monday, October 10, 2011
I have to say I appreciate the honesty and communications from this service but do feel that some background investigation should've been going on while bets were still available to prevent a break in service. But fair play on holding their hands up and we shall see what comes out the other end!
My likely view is pretty much whatever the outcome, that i'll probably stop following though.
Sunday, October 9, 2011
Mr Gekko and 4PA both had complete wipeouts. These services are both disasters at the moment. For 4PA its the 3rd weekend in 4 that there has been a complete wipe out. All the more depressing and frustrating when the basic system (which is free from SBC) would've delivered a small profit today. Annoyingly this morning, I'd debated as to whether I should just follow the basic system or advised from now on.
My knee jerk reaction is to stop following both these services, accept the losses and move on in the direction i was wanting to head in. I should accept the fact that they might turn around in the future but be confident that I'm better spending my hard earned money on more reliable services. Clearly I can follow the basic 4PA system without paying a £400 pa sub (although advised service is currently free due to poor performance).
In terms of Saturday betting today has been another clear indication that Saturdays should be set aside and enjoyed rather than slogging over a pc getting bets on for half the day. Do I do this though??? Who knows.
Tuesday, October 4, 2011
Will be interested to see if September ends up in profit - October has certainly started well.
Piecost have started well with the launch of the full service from 1st October - looks like for once I have joined at the right time after a poor month during the free period in September which I missed. Feels like a good service in terms of communication / service as well as tips. Glad I got in. I'm only betting small trial stakes on this service for first 2-3 months (£5 per point) to get a feel for it. Additionally am only betting on betfair and will watch how this impacts ROI - its a heavy betting service in terms of volume and throwing more bets at the bookies is potentially going to damage my accounts. If the ROI holds up at levels suggest for Betfair then it looks like it could still be a very profitable service.
Back on a regular basis next week. Good luck with your betting in the meantime
Friday, September 30, 2011
But really I was referring to Equine Turnover form - a 20/1 winner on Thurs and 16/1 winner today! Struggled with odds today though and best I could get was 10/1 rather than 16/1 quoted - more to do with a short delay in getting on for me but I noticed SP was 4/1 so cracking value bet!
A brief post really also to say I've published, read and commented on all recent comments - thanks for input. Worth reading comments if you don't already.
Still on hols - betting been easy to get on in the main although my laptop is now playing up. Visiting family tomorrow so may struggle to get bets on - maybe not a bad thing considering this weeks days of the week topic!